Probability Estimate for Attaining the Necessary Characteristics for a Life Support Body
© 2004 Reasons To Believe (update)
Probability Estimate for Attaining the Necessary Characteristics for a Life Support Body Notes: Estimate of dependency and longevity factors are accounted for at the end of the list. References to relevant science research papers and books also follow the list. The definition used here for a planet is broad enough to include a large satellite orbiting another planet. For reasons why satellites in general and starless planets are not suitable candidates for a lifesupport body see Lights in the Sky and Little Green Men by Hugh Ross, Kenneth Samples, and Mark Clark (Colorado Springs, CO: NavPress, 2002), pp. 3941.
Probability for occurrence of all 322 parameters ≈ 10^{388} dependency factors estimate ≈ 10^{96} longevity requirements estimate ≈ 10^{14} Probability for occurrence of all 322 parameters ≈ 10^{304} Maximum possible number of life support bodies in universe ≈ 10^{22} Thus, less than 1 chance in 10^{282}(million trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion) exists that even one such lifesupport body would occur anywhere in the universe without invoking divine miracles. References:
